WW4 File: Turkish army’s shelling on Friday hits Syrian military position south of rebel-held border post at Tal al-Abyad; Syria’s official denial of responsibility for mortar attacks on Turkey again raises spectre of third-party provocation
October 5, 2012
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Today’s Turkish artillery bombardment on Syria struck a military position south of the rebel-held border post at Tal al-Abyad, in the northern province of Raqa. Raqa is home to thousands of displaced Syrians fleeing violence from other areas of the country.
In view of the Syrian regime’s official denial of responsibility for several mortars lobbed at Turkey from its territory this week, we can only conclude that some party or parties is trying to provoke a war between Syria and Turkey, which would probably lead to NATO intervention in Syria’s internal conflict. There are several possible perpetrators:
- The Syrian Arab Army accidentally fired the mortars and has no intention of starting a conflict with Turkey, as it is preoccupied with crushing an internal uprising.
- The Free Syrian Army (FSA), which until recently was based in Turkey and is trying to overthrow the Assad regime in Damascus, fired the mortars to provoke Western intervention against Syria.
- The Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) has been incited by the Assad regime to attack Turkey out of revenge for Turkey’s hosting the FSA. The PKK, however, is fighting for an independent Marxist Kurdistan that will span parts of Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Iran, so it can only establish fairweather alliances with governments like Syria’s.
- Russian military advisors, who are known to be operating in Syria, intend to drag NATO, including the USA, and possibly Israel into a major conflagration with Syria and Iran, since the two are locked into a mutual defense pact.